A Comparative Analysis between a SIRD Compartmental Model and the Richards Growth Model

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5540/tcam.2021.022.04.00545

Keywords:

COVID-19, Fatality curve, SIRD model, Richards growth model, Intervention strategies

Abstract

We propose a compartmental SIRD model with time-dependent parameters that can be used to give epidemiological interpretations to the phenomenological parameters of the Richards growth model. We illustrate the use of the map between these two models by fitting the fatality curves of the COVID-19 epidemic data in Italy, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands, Cuba, and Japan, up to July 30, 2020.

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Published

2021-10-26

How to Cite

Macêdo, A. M. S., Brum, A. A., Duarte-Filho, G. C., Almeida, F. A. G., Ospina, R., & Vasconcelos, G. L. (2021). A Comparative Analysis between a SIRD Compartmental Model and the Richards Growth Model. Trends in Computational and Applied Mathematics, 22(4), 545–557. https://doi.org/10.5540/tcam.2021.022.04.00545

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Original Article